The XRP Forecast
Wednesday, October 21, 2026 · Nightly since July 2026 · Every forecast graded
Your editionThe full desk, nothing hidden

accountability, pointed at ourselves

Track record — every band, graded nightly.

A 68% band is only honest if it catches ~68% of closes. We publish that number instead of asking you to trust us. No influencer will ever show you this page about their own calls. Tonight's grade card ↗

Backtest calibration (walk-forward, no peeking)

HorizonDays graded68% band caught95% band caught
1 day49772.2%97.6%
7 days49174.1%97.4%

Walk-forward: each historical day's bands were built only from data available before that day, then checked against what actually printed. Targets: 68% and 95%. Close is honest; drift means recalibrate — and we'll say so here.

Live record (graded since launch)

95 graded · 68% band caught 78.9% · 95% band caught 95.8%

DateSpot68% bandActual closeInside?
2026-10-201.30401.268 – 1.3421.335868%
2026-10-191.30691.271 – 1.3451.304168%
2026-10-181.29401.259 – 1.3311.307168%
2026-10-171.31151.276 – 1.3491.294168%
2026-10-161.33491.298 – 1.3731.311568%
2026-10-151.33221.296 – 1.3711.334968%
2026-10-141.36621.329 – 1.4061.331668%
2026-10-131.34281.306 – 1.3811.366168%
2026-10-121.40981.371 – 1.4501.342295%
2026-10-111.40241.364 – 1.4431.410368%
2026-10-101.39591.358 – 1.4361.402468%
2026-10-091.38071.343 – 1.4201.395868%
2026-10-081.42111.382 – 1.4621.380595%
2026-10-071.49691.456 – 1.5401.421595%
2026-10-061.50761.467 – 1.5511.497168%
2026-10-051.51931.478 – 1.5631.507768%
2026-10-041.48631.446 – 1.5291.520668%
2026-10-031.48451.444 – 1.5271.486468%
2026-10-021.49401.453 – 1.5371.484768%
2026-10-011.49061.450 – 1.5341.493968%
2026-09-301.49101.450 – 1.5341.490068%
2026-09-291.49631.455 – 1.5391.490668%
2026-09-281.51671.475 – 1.5601.496868%
2026-09-271.52721.485 – 1.5711.516768%
2026-09-261.56811.525 – 1.6131.527468%
2026-09-251.53451.492 – 1.5791.568568%
2026-09-241.50071.459 – 1.5441.534868%
2026-09-231.57111.528 – 1.6161.501095%
2026-09-221.53491.493 – 1.5791.572768%
2026-09-211.41021.372 – 1.4511.536395%

The XRP Forecast publishes probability, not advice. Every figure is measured from the market's own record, published before the fact, and graded after — wrong sometimes, honest always. © 2026.